CJ's Seed List- FINAL

1 Ohio St, Kansas, Notre Dame, Pitt
2 Duke, North Carolina, Texas, BYU
3 UConn, Syracuse, Florida, SDSU
4 Purdue, Louisville, Wisconsin, Kentucky
5 St. John's, Vandy, WVU, Kansas St.
6 ODU, Georgetown, Cincy, Arizona
7 Xavier, Texas A&M, Utah St., George Mason
8 UNLV, Missouri, UCLA, Temple
9 Richmond, Washington, Michigan State, Tennessee
10 Villanova, Marquette, Illinois, Colorado
11 Gonzaga, Butler, Michigan, Virginia Tech
12 Penn State, Florida State-SMC, Memphis, Georgia-Harvard
13 Belmont, Oakland, Princeton, Indiana St
14 Morehead St, Bucknell, St. Peter's, Akron
15 Long Island, Northern Colorado, Wofford, UC-Santa Barbara
16 Boston University,NC-Asheville, Hampton/Alabama St, UA-Little Rock/UTSA

Bryce's Seed List - Final

1. Ohio St., Kansas, Notre Dame, Pitt
2. Duke, UNC, Texas, Syracuse
3. Connecticut, BYU, SDSU,Florida
4. Kentucky, Purdue, Louisville, Wisconsin
5. St. John's, Vanderbilt, West Virginia, Kansas St.
6. Georgetown, Old Dominion, Cincinnati, Xavier
7. Arizona, Texas A&M, Utah St, UNLV
8. George Mason, Tennessee, UCLA, Temple
9. Richmond, Washington, Michigan St, Missouri
10. Villanova, Marquette, Colorado, Michigan
11. Illinois, Memphis, Gonzaga, Penn State
12. Va Tech, Butler, Harvard vs. Florida St, Georgia vs. BC
13. Belmont, Princeton, Oakland, Indiana St
14. Long Island, Morehead St, Bucknell, St. Peter's
15. Northern Colorado, Wofford, Akron, UCSB
16. UNC-A, Boston U, Hampton vs. Alabama St, UA-LR, UT-SA

First Four out: SMC, Alabama, Clemson, USC

NCAA Tournament 2011 Predicted Bracket

Edit: Sorry for the late edit, swapped UCSB and BU

Selection Sunday Chat

Where I'm starting Today-CJ

1 Ohio St, Kansas, Notre Dame, Pitt
2 Duke, North Carolina, Texas, BYU
3 UConn, Syracuse, Florida, SDSU
4 Purdue, Louisville, Wisconsin, Kentucky
5 St. John's, Vandy, WVU, Kansas St.
6 ODU, Georgetown, Cincy, Xavier
7 Arizona, Texas A&M, Utah St., UNLV
8 George Mason, Tennessee, UCLA, Temple
9 Richmond, Washington, Michigan State, Missouri
10 Villanova, Marquette, Illinois, Colorado
11 Florida St, Gonzaga, Butler, Michigan
12 Virginia Tech, Penn State-Georgia, Memphis, Belmont
13 Harvard-Clemson, Oakland, Princeton, Indiana St
14 Long Island, Morehead St, Bucknell, St. Peter's
15 Northern Colorado, Wofford, Boston University, Akron
16 UCSB, UNCA, Hampton/Alabama St, UA-Little Rock/UTSA

21.5 hours to Selection Sunday

Here's how I see things shaking out:


1 Ohio St, Kansas, Notre Dame, Pitt
2 Duke, North Carolina, Texas, Syracuse
3 BYU, Uconn, Purdue, Florida
4 SDSU, Louisville, Wisconsin, Kentucky
5 St. John's, Vandy, WVU, Kansas St.
6 G'town, ODU, Cincy, Xavier
7 Arizona, Texas A&M, Utah St., UNLV
8 George Mason, Tennessee, UCLA, Temple
9 Richmond, Washington, Villanova, Missouri
10 Michigan St, Marquette, Illinois, Butler
11 Florida St, Colorado, Gonzaga, Va Tech
12 Michigan, Penn State, Harvard-Clemson, Memphis, Belmont
13 St. Mary's-BC, Oakland, Princeton, Indiana St
14 Long Island, Morehead St, Bucknell, Long Beach St
15 St. Peters, Northern Colorado, Wofford, Akron
16 Boston U, UNCA, Hampton/Alabama St, UA-Little Rock/UTSA

First Four Out: Alabama, Georgia, USC, Princeton
Next Four Out: UAB, Washington St, Nebraska, VCU

EDIT: Yes, Princeton in the first four out is a joke. I was tired, and didn't feel like thinking about it.

Saturday Live NCAA Bracketology Chat

CJ's Seed List (Through 3/12 at 2:37AM)

As of 3/12/11 2:37 AM

1: Ohio State, Kansas, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh
2: Duke, UNC, BYU, Texas
3: Cuse, Purdue, Florida, UConn
4: SDSU, UL, Wisconsin, Kentucky
5: St. Johns, WVU, Vanderbilt, Kansas State
6: Old Dominion, Arizona, Georgetown, Cincinnati
7: George Mason, Utah State, Xavier, Texas A&M
8: UCLA, UNLV, Tenn, Missouri
9: Temple, Illinois, Washington, Richmond
10: Colorado, Gonzaga, Florida State, Villanova
11: Michigan State, Marquette, Butler, Michigan
12: Clemson, Virginia Tech/Saint Mary’s, BC/Bama, Harvard
13: UTEP, Belmont, Oakland, Indiana State
14: Bucknell, Kent State, Morehead State, Wofford
15: LIU, Long Beach State, St. Peter’s, Northern Colorado,
16: Boston University, Hampton, NC-Asheville/Grambling State, McNeese State, Arkansas-Little Rock

First Four Out: Georgia, Penn State, USC, UAB
Next Four Out: Princeton, Missouri State, Memphis, VCU

Bryce's Seed List

2:38 AM, March 12, 2011

1. Ohio St, Kansas, Notre Dame, Pitt
2. Duke, Texas, BYU, North Carolina
3. Syracuse, Purdue, Connecticut, San Diego St
4. Florida, Louisville, Wisconsin, Kentucky
5. Vanderbilt, St. John's, Kansas St, West Virginia
6. Old Dominion, Arizona, Cincinnati, Georgetown
7. Xavier, UNLV, Utah St, Texas A&M
8. George Mason, Temple, UCLA, Illinois
9. Villanova, Tennessee, Missouri, Washington
10. Richmond, Michigan St, Marquette, Florida St.
11. Colorado, Virginia Tech, Butler, Gonzaga
12. Harvard, Michigan, St. Mary's, BC, Belmont
13. UTEP, Clemson, Penn St., Oakland, Kent St
14. LIU, Morehead St, Indiana St, Bucknell
15. Long Beach St, St. Peters, N. Colorado, Wofford
16. Boston, UNC-A, Mcneese St, Hampton, UA-Little Rock, Grambling St.

First Four Out: Alabama, Georgia, Oklahoma St, USC
Next Four Out: UAB, Princeton, Wazzu, VCU

CJ's Seed List (Through 3/12 at 6pm)

CJ’s S-Curve List (Through last at-large)
1- Ohio State
2- Kansas
3- Notre Dame
4- Pitt

5- Duke
6- BYU
7- Texas
8- UNC

9- Purdue
10- Syracuse
11- Wisconsin
12- SDSU

13- UConn
14- Louisville
15- Florida
16- St. John’s

17- Vanderbilt
18- West Virginia
19- Kentucky
20- Kansas State

21- Georgetown
22- Arizona
23- Xavier
24- George Mason

25- Texas A&M
26- Cincy
27- Temple
28- Utah St.

29- UNLV
30- Missouri
31- Old Dominion
32- UCLA

33- Washington
34- Florida St.
35- Tennessee
36- Gonzaga

37-Marquette
38- Villanova
39- Butler
40- Colorado


41- Michigan
42- Clemson
43-Richmond
44- Illinois

45- Boston College
46- Michigan State
47- Saint Mary’s
48- Alabama
49- Virginia Tech

Bryce's Seedlist - 11:38 AM, March 11

Selection Sunday is but mere days away. The committee has probably already starting seeding the field, even though Duke and Ohio State have yet to play their first tournament game. Here is how I see the field shaping up. In this seed list, teams are in order in their lines.

1. Kansas, Ohio St, Notre Dame, Pitt
2. Duke, Syracuse, North Carolina, Texas
3. Purdue, BYU, San Diego St, Wisconsin
4. Florida, Connecticut, Kentucky, Louisville
5. St. John's, Arizona, Vanderbilt, Kansas St.
6. Georgetown, West Virginia, Old Dominion, Texas A&M
7. UNLV, Cincinnati, Xavier, Utah St
8. Temple, George Mason, UCLA, Tennessee
9. Villanova, Missouri, Illinois, Florida St
10. Washington, Richmond, Butler, Marquette
11. Georgia, Colorado, Gonzaga, Boston College
12. Va Tech, St. Mary's, Michigan, Memphis, Harvard
13. Michigan St, Clemson, Oakland, Belmont, Kent St.
14. LIU, Morehead St, Indiana St, Bucknell
15. LBSU, St. Peters, N. Colorado, Wofford
16. Boston U, UNC-A, Mcneese St, Hampton, Texas Southern, UA-LR

First Four Out: Oklahoma St, USC, UAB, Penn State
Next Four Out: Alabama, Washington, VCU, Nebraska

2nd Ballot- Consideration List

Considered List
Alabama
Baylor
BC
Clemson
Colorado
Colorado St. (Just Bryce)
Florida St.
Georgia
Harvard
Illinois (Just CJ)
Marquette
Maryland (Just Bryce)
Memphis
Michigan
Michigan St.
Minnesota
Missouri State (Just CJ)
Nebraska
Oklahoma St.
Penn St.
Princeton (Just CJ)
Saint Mary’s
Tennessee (Just CJ)
Richmond
UAB
UNM (Just Bryce)
USC
UTEP
Va Tech
VCU
Villanova (Just Bryce)
Washington
Washington St.

Initial Ballot - CJ and Bryce

On Both Ballots
Arizona
BYU
Cincinnati
Connecticut
Duke
Florida
George Mason
Georgetown
Kansas
Kansas St.
Kentucky
Louisville
Missouri
North Carolina
Notre Dame
Ohio St.
Pitt
Purdue
SDSU
St. John's
Syracuse
Temple
Texas
Texas A&M
UCLA
UNLV
Utah St.
Vanderbilt
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Xavier

On CJ's Ballot only
Florida St.
Villanova

On Bryce's Ballot only
Illinois
Tennessee

Bryce's Note: So, I think Nova is a lock. However, I can imagine committee members seeing the continuation of their collapse last night, and deciding that they need to be looked at before getting locked into the field.

Automatic Bids
Belmont - Atlantic Sun
Butler - Horizon
Gonzaga - WCC
Indiana St - MVC
Morehead St - OVC
Oakland - Summit
Old Dominion - CAA
St. Peter's - MAAC
UA-Little Rock - Sun Belt
UNC-Asheville - Big South
Wofford - SoCon

Initial Ballot

The committee began their deliberations at noon today in Indianapolis, 3.5 hours ago. So, what are they doing right now? The first step in the selection process is the initial balloting. Each committee member submits two ballots. The first ballot is a list of all teams that should definitely be in the tournament, no matter what. This ballot has a maximum of 37 teams. Any team that receives at least all but 2 of the eligible votes is put into the tournament. The second ballot is a list of all teams that ought to be considered for the tournament.

CJ and I will each come up with our own ballots, and post them here sometime before 5.

Selection Committee Begins Meeting Today

Today is the day when the assorted members of the Selection Committee begin meeting. In the past, conferences and teams with a representative on the committee have generally seen a slight bump in seeding (unless you're the Mountain West), so it is worthwhile at this time to see who might benefit from this bump. (Information found on Bracketography - a site worth checking out).



Side Note: Committee members are required to leave the room whenever their team is part of a vote, so this bias does not occur directly. Instead, I believe it happens when each committee member feels that the absence of that member will lead to a bias against the team in question, and thus gives them a little extra credit when voting. Additionally, it is unclear to me whether committee members leave the room only for the school they currently have ties to, or any school that they have ever had ties to. This question has major ramifications for Notre Dame, who has THREE alums on the committee. I assume that schools in the same conference don't force a committee member to leave - otherwise, Hathaway (the UConn AD), won't be doing very much this week.



#1 - Gene Smith, AD, Ohio State. This year's committee chair managed to get a small bump for every non-Purdue Big 10 team last year - especially his own Buckeyes. If you don't think the Buckeyes are getting the #1 overall, you should consider this information. None of Smith's previous AD stops have a chance of reaching the tournament, but it is worth noting that he won a football national championship with Notre Dame.



#2 - Stanley Morrison, AD, UC-Riverside. Might make a difference on the 14-15 line, but doubtful. Also played for Cal, and coached at Southern Cal. I've seen no bumps based on previous stops, so I really don't think the Trojans are going to benefit.



#3 - Jeffrey Hathaway, AD, Connecticut. Expect to see UConn a line or two above where you might expect them, in deference to this man who leads the athletic department at one of the premier basketball schools in the country. He attended Maryland, which may get them some consideration, but there is probably no love there after Maryland took his head football coach this past winter.



#4 - Lynn Hickey, AD, UT-SA. The second woman ever on this committee. Her conference representative won't be her team, and seems destined for one of the play-in games. Nothing to see here.



#5 - Mike Bobinski, AD, Xavier. Over the past two years, I've missed on Xavier by a line too low. It probably is no coincidence that their AD happens to be on the selection committee. This bump has not appeared to carry over to the other A-10 teams, although his alma mater, Notre Dame, may have been the recipient of some bias last year, when they were criminally overseeded on the 6 line. He has previously worked at Akron and Navy, neither of which should be a factor this year.



#6 - Dan Beebe, Big 12 Commissioner. This is Beebe's second year on the committee, and this man is probably the most well know man on it. After successfully holding together the Big 12, he is in prime position to make the tournament paths of those teams just a bit easier. Will the football expansion fallout transfer over to Colorado and Nebraska, who will be leaving the conference at the end of this academic year? Since he's not actually allowed to vote on



#7 - Doug Fullerton, Big Sky Commissioner - Small conference commissioner. Might impact the bottom lines. I kind of doubt it..



#8 - Ron Wellman, AD, Wake Forest - While Wake Forest is nowhere near the tournament, this positions the ACC to perhaps get a little better positioning. In his second year on the committee, I can't imagine him being a major player.

#9 - Scott Barnes, AD, Utah State - This is a big one. One member of the committee will be out of the room for the discussion of one of the bigger seeding questions of this year's tournament - how do we deal with Utah State's gaudy record - and lack of big wins. How will the other committee members react? It'll be interesting to see if Utah St. gets any seeding bump. I also wonder if his presence on the committee could help St. Mary's, Utah State's signature win.

#10 - Steve Orsini, AD, Southern Methodist - Obviously, Southern Methodist is nowhere near the bracket. One question of interest, however, is whether this could help fellow C-USA members UAB, Memphis, or UTEP. While Memphis and UTEP probably need the auto-bid, UAB is definitely in the discussion to receive one of the last at-large slots. Also of note - Orsini is the third Notre Dame alum on the committee, having played on the 1977 football championship team.

Bryce - One Week to Selection Sunday

EDIT: I altered this from my earlier seed list to reflect VCU's victory over George Mason

At this point, it is close enough to Selection Sunday that I feel comfortable doing my seed list as if today were Selection Sunday.

1. Kansas, Ohio St, Pitt, Notre Dame
2. North Carolina, Duke, BYU, Texas
3. Purdue, San Diego St, Florida, Syracuse
4. Wisconsin, Kentucky, St. John's, Louisville
5. Connecticut, Arizona, Vanderbilt, Kansas St.
6. Cincinnati, Georgetown, WVU, Texas A&M
7. UCLA, Old Dominion, Xavier, UNLV
8. Villanova, Temple, Utah St, Tennessee
9. George Mason, Missouri, Florida St, Illinois
10. Washington, Marquette, Colorado, Georgia
11. Nebraska, Memphis, Gonzaga, Richmond
12. Va Tech, Michigan, VCU, BC, Michigan St, Butler
13. Harvard, Belmont, Oakland

First Four Out: Oklahoma St, Alabama, Clemson, UAB
Next Four Out: Colorado St, New Mexico, Baylor, St. Mary's

CJ's Seed List (Through 3/5/2011)

CJ’s S-Curve List
1- Ohio State
2- Kansas
3- Pitt
4- Notre Dame

5- Duke
6- BYU
7- Texas
8- Wisconsin

9- Purdue
10- SDSU
11- Syracuse
12- UNC

13- Florida
14- Louisville
15- St. Johns
16- Vanderbilt

17- UConn
18- West Virginia
19- Kentucky
20- Kansas State

21- Georgetown
22- Arizona
23- Xavier
24- George Mason

25- Texas A&M
26- Villanova
27- Temple
28- Cincy

29- Utah St.
30- UNLV
31- Missouri
32- Old Dominion

33- UCLA
34- Washington
35- Florida St.
36- Tennessee

37- Gonzaga
38- St. Mary’s
39- Butler
40- Michigan

41- Marquette
42- Richmond
43- Virginia Tech
44- Illinois

45- Boston College
46- Michigan State
47- Clemson
48- Georgia
49- Memphis
50- Belmont

51- Missouri State
52- Oakland
53- Princeton
54- Bucknell

55- Fairfield
56- Charleston
57- Vermont
58- Long Island

59- Kent State
60- Milwaukee
61- Long Beach
62- UNC-Ashville

63- Murray State
64- Florida Atlantic
65- Northern Colorado
66- Texas Southern
67- McNeese State
68- Bethune Cookman